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Athletic Bilbao logo
Atletico Madrid logo
Barcelona logo
Celta Vigo logo
Getafe logo
Girona logo
Las Palmas
Leganes logo
Mallorca logo
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Rayo Vallecano logo
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Real Valladolid logo
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Athletic Bilbao logo
La Liga | Gameweek 35
May 11, 2025 at 5.30pm UK
San Mames Barria
Alaves logo

Athletic Bilbao
1 - 0
Alaves

Sanchez (71' og.)
Djalo (33')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Guevara (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Alaves, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Man Utd 4-1 Athletic Bilbao
Thursday, May 8 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Alaves 0-0 Atletico
Saturday, May 3 at 1pm in La Liga

We said: Athletic Bilbao 1-1 Alaves

Should Athletic receive an injury boost ahead of the match, with any of their key forwards being available, then we could side with a home victory here. However, as it stands, we can see Alaves being good enough to secure a share of the spoils on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 59.42%. A draw has a probability of 23.2% and a win for Alaves has a probability of 17.36%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.64%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.97%), while for an Alaves win it is 0-1 (6.25%).

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawAlaves
59.42% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02) 23.22% (0.029999999999998 0.03) 17.36% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 46.53% (-0.1 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.7% (-0.128 -0.13)52.3% (0.126 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26% (-0.111 -0.11)74% (0.10799999999999 0.11)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.71% (-0.054999999999993 -0.05)17.29% (0.052 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.36% (-0.095000000000006 -0.1)47.63% (0.092000000000006 0.09)
Alaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.25% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)43.75% (0.083999999999996 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.08% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)79.92% (0.069000000000003 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 59.41%
    Alaves 17.36%
    Draw 23.22%
Athletic BilbaoDrawAlaves
1-0 @ 13.27% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 11.64% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.63% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.82% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 5.63% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.99% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.47% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.33% (-0.011 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.05% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.02% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 59.41%
1-1 @ 10.97% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.56% (0.038 0.04)
2-2 @ 3.98% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 23.22%
0-1 @ 6.25% (0.017 0.02)
1-2 @ 4.54% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.59% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 1.25% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.1% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 17.36%

How you voted: Athletic Bilbao vs Alaves

Athletic Bilbao
81.4%
Draw
14.0%
Alaves
4.7%
43
Head to Head
Dec 15, 2024 3.15pm
Gameweek 17
Alaves
1-1
Athletic Bilbao
Jordan (67')
Blanco (54'), Tenaglia (69')
Gomez (10')
Boiro Boiro (20'), Berchiche (75')
Mar 16, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 29
Athletic Bilbao
2-0
Alaves
Guruzeta (32', 37')
Williams (54'), Garcia (90+4')

Benavidez (80'), Abqar (86'), Blanco (90+2')
Jan 16, 2024 8pm
Round of 16
Athletic Bilbao
2-0
Alaves
Villalibre (28', 60')

Benavidez (71'), Marin (90')
Sep 22, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 6
Alaves
0-2
Athletic Bilbao

Kike (45+1'), Garcia (61'), Abqar (78')
Williams (18'), Sancet (76')
Berenguer (29'), Berchiche (31')
Jan 9, 2022 5.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona35264595365982
2Real Madrid35236672373575
3Atletico MadridAtletico352010560273370
4Athletic Bilbao351713551262564
5Villarreal351710861471461
6Real BetisBetis351610953431058
7Celta Vigo35147145554149
8Rayo Vallecano351211123742-547
9Mallorca35138143340-747
10Valencia351112124351-845
11Osasuna351015104351-845
12Real Sociedad35127163241-943
13Getafe35109163134-339
14Espanyol35109163847-939
15Sevilla35911153949-1038
16GironaGirona35108174153-1238
17AlavesAlaves35811163547-1235
18Leganes35713153553-1834
19Las PalmasLas Palmas3588194057-1732
RReal ValladolidValladolid3544272685-5916


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