Toluca

2 - 1

Monterrey

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 48.27%. A win for Monterrey had a probability of 27.96% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.84%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Monterrey win was 1-2 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Toluca in this match.