Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Louis City win with a probability of 49.35%. A win for San Diego had a probability of 26.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Louis City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest San Diego win was 0-1 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for San Diego in this match.