Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 44.01%. A win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 31.28% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.02%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest Columbus Crew win was 1-2 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.