MX23RW : Monday, May 12 02:18:24| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League
May 11, 2025 at 5.10pm UK
The Oval

Caernarfon
0 - 0
Cardiff MU

FT

Roscrow (3'), Reynolds (45+1'), Rees (84'), (90+7')
Caernarfon win 4-2 on penalties
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Cardiff MU.

Form, Standings, Stats

Caernarfon Town

All competitions
Last Game: Caernarfon 5-2 Barry
Saturday, April 26 at 12.15pm in Welsh Premier League

Cardiff MU

All competitions
Last Game: Cardiff MU 1-0 Bala Town
Saturday, April 26 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 47.79%. A win for Cardiff MU has a probability of 27.75% and a draw has a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Cardiff MU win is 0-1 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.53%).

Result
Caernarfon TownDrawCardiff MU
47.79%24.45%27.75%
Both teams to score 55.98%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.62%46.37%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.34%68.66%
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.51%19.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.65%51.35%
Cardiff MU Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.53%30.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.32%66.68%
Score Analysis
    Caernarfon Town 47.79%
    Cardiff MU 27.75%
    Draw 24.44%
Caernarfon TownDrawCardiff MU
1-0 @ 9.71%
2-1 @ 9.44%
2-0 @ 7.94%
3-1 @ 5.15%
3-0 @ 4.33%
3-2 @ 3.06%
4-1 @ 2.1%
4-0 @ 1.77%
4-2 @ 1.25%
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 47.79%
1-1 @ 11.53%
0-0 @ 5.94%
2-2 @ 5.61%
3-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.44%
0-1 @ 7.06%
1-2 @ 6.86%
0-2 @ 4.19%
1-3 @ 2.72%
2-3 @ 2.22%
0-3 @ 1.66%
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 27.75%

Head to Head
Apr 19, 2025 12.45pm
Gameweek 10
Caernarfon
2-1
Cardiff MU
Mooney (52'), Lloyd (68')
Hudson (86')
Roscrow (33')
Mar 8, 2025 2.30pm
Gameweek 5
Cardiff MU
4-2
Caernarfon
Reynolds (24'), Jones (56', 80'), Rees (72')
Rees (71')
Hudson (33'), Hill (46')
Lloyd (88'), Hudson (90+4'), Hill (90+4')
Oct 5, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 11
Cardiff MU
1-2
Caernarfon
Rees (3')
Craven (90+4')
Lloyd (38', 56')
Clarke (82')
Downey (90+5'), Downey (90+5')
Aug 31, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 5
Caernarfon
1-2
Cardiff MU
Lloyd (19' pen.)
Owen (22'), Lloyd (87')
Clubb (6'), Reynolds (42')
Edwards (67')
May 10, 2024 7.45pm
Caernarfon
2-0
Cardiff MU
Williams (86'), Davies (90')
Lloyd (63'), Williams (87')

Craven (48'), McCarthy (55')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Round
1The New SaintsNew Saints32260689315878
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont32197656322464
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest321312739261351
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon32146125351248
5Cardiff MUCardiff MU32128124346-344
6Bala TownBala Town32813113843-537
Relegation Round
1Barry Town UnitedBarry32157105551452
2Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay321261447351242
3Flint Town UnitedFlint Town32133164862-1442
4Briton Ferry3295184665-1932
5Newtown AFCNewtown3268183665-2926
6Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth3263232871-4321
 
Regular Season
1The New SaintsNew Saints22170561263551
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont22155242162650
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest22117429111840
4Caernarfon TownCaernarfon2210483535034
5Bala TownBala Town2271142821732
6Cardiff MUCardiff MU229583229332
7Barry Town UnitedBarry228683238-630
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay2275103226626
9Briton Ferry2263133345-1221
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2262142747-2020
11Newtown AFCNewtown2254132446-2219
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2242161853-3514
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!