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Bundesliga | Gameweek 33
May 11, 2025 at 2.30pm UK
BayArena
Dortmund logo

B. Leverkusen
2 - 4
Dortmund

Frimpong (30'), Hofmann (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Brandt (33'), Ryerson (43'), Adeyemi (73'), Guirassy (77')
Gross (23'), Nmecha (45+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dortmund 4-0 Wolfsburg
Saturday, May 3 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Bayer Leverkusen 2-4 Borussia Dortmund

Leverkusen may come into the game devoid of confidence following the confirmation that they have lost their title to Bayern Munich. Dortmund have also found goalscoring form in the final stages of the 2024-25 campaign, and they will back themselves to net on multiple occasions. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 63.5%. A draw has a probability of 18.7% and a win for Borussia Dortmund has a probability of 17.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (8.04%) and 3-1 (7.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.07%), while for a Borussia Dortmund win it is 1-2 (4.78%).

Result
Bayer LeverkusenDrawBorussia Dortmund
63.5% (0.287 0.29) 18.7% (-0.119 -0.12) 17.8% (-0.166 -0.17)
Both teams to score 62.87% (0.123 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.75% (0.30000000000001 0.3)31.25% (-0.298 -0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.31% (0.354 0.35)52.69% (-0.35299999999999 -0.35)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.56% (0.154 0.15)9.44% (-0.1521 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.28% (0.35599999999999 0.36)31.72% (-0.355 -0.36)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.43% (0.018000000000001 0.02)30.57% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.2% (0.018999999999998 0.02)66.8% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Bayer Leverkusen 63.5%
    Borussia Dortmund 17.8%
    Draw 18.7%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 9.53% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.04% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 7.5% (0.032 0.03)
1-0 @ 6.81% (-0.066 -0.07)
3-0 @ 6.32% (0.024 0.02)
3-2 @ 4.44% (0.021 0.02)
4-1 @ 4.42% (0.049 0.05)
4-0 @ 3.73% (0.039 0.04)
4-2 @ 2.62% (0.03 0.03)
5-1 @ 2.09% (0.037 0.04)
5-0 @ 1.76% (0.031 0.03)
5-2 @ 1.24% (0.022 0.02)
4-3 @ 1.04% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 3.96%
Total : 63.5%
1-1 @ 8.07% (-0.074000000000002 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.65% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-0 @ 2.89% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.75% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 18.7%
1-2 @ 4.78% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-1 @ 3.42% (-0.055 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.23% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 2.03% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.89% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 17.8%

How you voted: B. Leverkusen vs Dortmund

Bayer Leverkusen
38.6%
Draw
15.7%
Borussia Dortmund
45.8%
83
Head to Head
Jan 10, 2025 7.45pm
Gameweek 16
Dortmund
2-3
B. Leverkusen
Bynoe-Gittens (12'), Guirassy (79' pen.)
Nmecha (90+5')
Tella (1'), Schick (8', 19')
Schick (45+3'), Tapsoba (78')
Apr 21, 2024 4.30pm
Gameweek 30
Dortmund
1-1
B. Leverkusen
Fullkrug (81')
Maatsen (37'), Can (45+2'), Fullkrug (45+3'), Schlotterbeck (88')
Stanisic (90+7')
Tella (28'), Frimpong (88'), Xhaka (90+1')
Dec 3, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 13
B. Leverkusen
1-1
Dortmund
Okoh Boniface (79')
Frimpong (12'), Palacios (74'), Odilon (90+1')
Ryerson (5')
Hummels (77'), Wolf (90+1')
Jan 29, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 18
B. Leverkusen
0-2
Dortmund
Adeyemi (33'), Tapsoba (53' og.)
Aug 6, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 1
Dortmund
1-0
B. Leverkusen
Reus (10')
Hazard (43'), Schlotterbeck (72')

Tah (27'), Palacios (37'), Hincapie (56'), Bakker (90+5')
Hradecky (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayern MunichBayern33247295326379
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen331911370412968
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt33169865452057
4Freiburg33167104850-255
5Borussia DortmundDortmund331661168511754
6Mainz 05Mainz331491053411251
7RB Leipzig33131285145651
8Werder Bremen33139115056-648
9Stuttgart331381261511047
10Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach33136145556-145
11Augsburg331110123449-1543
12Wolfsburg331010135554140
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin33910143350-1737
14St Pauli3388172839-1132
15Hoffenheim33711154664-1832
16Heidenheim3385203660-2429
17Holstein Kiel3367204977-2825
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum3357213167-3622


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