MX23RW : Monday, May 12 02:03:02| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Ajax
Eredivisie | Gameweek 32
May 11, 2025 at 3.45pm UK
Johan Cruijff Arena
NEC

Ajax
0 - 3
Nijmegen


Gaaei (30'), Fitz-Jim (64'), Berghuis (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Hansen (59'), Pereira (67'), Ouaissa (82')
Marquez (27'), van Crooij (37'), Pereira (38'), Verdonk (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Ajax and NEC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ajax 1-1 Sparta
Sunday, April 27 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Nijmegen 1-1 Willem II
Saturday, May 3 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: Ajax 3-1 NEC

While Ajax have only taken a point from their last two games, they are still unbeaten at home this season, and we feel they will take a step closer to securing the league title by winning this match fairly comfortably. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ajax win with a probability of 65.25%. A draw has a probability of 19.3% and a win for NEC has a probability of 15.49%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win is 2-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.86%) and 1-0 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.97%), while for a NEC win it is 1-2 (4.36%).

Result
AjaxDrawNEC
65.25% (-0.197 -0.2) 19.27% (0.094999999999999 0.09) 15.49% (0.106 0.11)
Both teams to score 55.25% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.38% (-0.226 -0.23)38.63% (0.229 0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.08% (-0.23999999999999 -0.24)60.93% (0.242 0.24)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.9% (-0.114 -0.11)11.1% (0.116 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.5% (-0.25700000000001 -0.26)35.5% (0.259 0.26)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.15% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)37.85% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.38% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)74.62% (0.012 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Ajax 65.25%
    NEC 15.49%
    Draw 19.27%
AjaxDrawNEC
2-0 @ 10.15% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.86% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.24% (0.055999999999999 0.06)
3-0 @ 7.44% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-1 @ 7.23% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-0 @ 4.09% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
4-1 @ 3.97% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.51% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.93% (-0.017 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.8% (-0.024 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.75% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 4.3%
Total : 65.25%
1-1 @ 8.97% (0.052000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.79% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 4.2% (0.046 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 19.27%
1-2 @ 4.36% (0.024 0.02)
0-1 @ 4.08% (0.043 0.04)
0-2 @ 1.98% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.55% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 1.41% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 15.49%

How you voted: Ajax vs Nijmegen

Ajax
87.5%
Draw
12.5%
NEC
0.0%
24
Head to Head
Dec 1, 2024 3.45pm
Gameweek 14
Nijmegen
1-2
Ajax
Hansen (13')
Sano (90+3')
Weghorst (15', 48')
Rensch (31'), Weghorst (51'), Gaaei (69'), Hato (74'), Kaplan (90')
Feb 18, 2024 1.30pm
Gameweek 22
Ajax
2-2
Nijmegen
Brobbey (7'), Borges (79')
Brobbey (67'), Hlynsson (87')
Hato (61' og.), Rober (90+5')
Dec 3, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 14
Nijmegen
1-2
Ajax
Tavsan (90')
Hlynsson (57'), Borges (88')
Mar 5, 2023 3.45pm
Gameweek 24
Ajax
1-0
Nijmegen
Kudus (52')
Jan 8, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 15
Nijmegen
1-1
Ajax
Dimata (52')
Klaassen (38')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Ajax32235463303374
2PSV EindhovenPSV32234596375973
3Feyenoord32198574363865
4FC UtrechtUtrecht32188661441762
5FC Twente32159860441654
6AZ AlkmaarAZ32158954342053
7Go Ahead Eagles32139105350348
8Heerenveen32117144056-1640
9Fortuna SittardSittard32116153653-1739
10Sparta RotterdamSparta32911123739-238
11Groningen32108143849-1138
12Heracles32911124057-1738
13NECNijmegen32107154645137
14PEC Zwolle32811133950-1135
15NAC BredaNAC Breda3288163354-2132
16Willem II3267193253-2125
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3257203969-3022
18Almere CityAlmere City3248202162-4120


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!