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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ajax win with a probability of 65.25%. A draw has a probability of 19.3% and a win for NEC has a probability of 15.49%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win is 2-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.86%) and 1-0 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.97%), while for a NEC win it is 1-2 (4.36%).
Result | ||
Ajax | Draw | NEC |
65.25% ( | 19.27% ( | 15.49% ( |
Both teams to score 55.25% ( |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.38% ( | 38.63% ( |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.08% ( | 60.93% ( |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.9% ( | 11.1% ( |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.5% ( | 35.5% ( |
NEC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.15% ( | 37.85% ( |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.38% ( | 74.62% ( |
Score Analysis |
Ajax | Draw | NEC |
2-0 @ 10.15% ( 2-1 @ 9.86% ( 1-0 @ 9.24% ( 3-0 @ 7.44% ( 3-1 @ 7.23% ( 4-0 @ 4.09% ( 4-1 @ 3.97% ( 3-2 @ 3.51% ( 4-2 @ 1.93% ( 5-0 @ 1.8% ( 5-1 @ 1.75% ( Other @ 4.3% Total : 65.25% | 1-1 @ 8.97% ( 2-2 @ 4.79% ( 0-0 @ 4.2% ( 3-3 @ 1.14% ( Other @ 0.17% Total : 19.27% | 1-2 @ 4.36% ( 0-1 @ 4.08% ( 0-2 @ 1.98% ( 2-3 @ 1.55% ( 1-3 @ 1.41% ( Other @ 2.1% Total : 15.49% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Ajax | 32 | 23 | 5 | 4 | 63 | 30 | 33 | 74 |
2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 32 | 23 | 4 | 5 | 96 | 37 | 59 | 73 |
3 | Feyenoord | 32 | 19 | 8 | 5 | 74 | 36 | 38 | 65 |
4 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 32 | 18 | 8 | 6 | 61 | 44 | 17 | 62 |
5 | FC Twente | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 60 | 44 | 16 | 54 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 54 | 34 | 20 | 53 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 53 | 50 | 3 | 48 |
8 | Heerenveen | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 40 | 56 | -16 | 40 |
9 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 36 | 53 | -17 | 39 |
10 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 38 |
11 | Groningen | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 38 |
12 | Heracles | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 40 | 57 | -17 | 38 |
13 | NECNijmegen | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 45 | 1 | 37 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 35 |
15 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 32 | 8 | 8 | 16 | 33 | 54 | -21 | 32 |
16 | Willem II | 32 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 25 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 32 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 39 | 69 | -30 | 22 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 32 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 21 | 62 | -41 | 20 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |